Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 637.824547 715.123485 800.816508 903.354924 1023.361180 1160.153424 1329.005090
2025-02-16 519.114037 620.402695 742.481299 902.412486 1109.354651 1372.263638 1738.459273
2025-02-23 465.725212 579.338009 723.764218 924.608401 1202.909937 1584.739868 2166.458526
2025-03-02 430.244955 553.063350 716.247031 954.978715 1306.140355 1822.419462 2677.579893
2025-03-09 398.149529 525.702481 701.464404 969.798495 1385.315107 2034.685073 3195.734710
2025-03-16 367.616750 496.305236 679.123680 968.550543 1437.177797 2210.413293 3693.280338
2025-03-23 347.010770 478.396490 670.524058 985.508854 1518.316425 2446.604943 4360.367931
2025-03-30 317.979565 445.199472 635.275865 955.204790 1514.772392 2531.921544 4753.964216
2025-04-06 293.393400 416.482485 603.968082 927.157511 1510.061469 2612.455715 5157.944047
2025-04-13 270.902763 389.169807 572.353493 894.804356 1492.442693 2663.766617 5509.993306
2025-04-20 263.491148 384.656409 576.637200 924.394720 1593.767828 2973.452616 6583.054397
2025-04-27 253.129496 374.570783 570.726062 934.877956 1659.223477 3220.347558 7589.376657
2025-05-04 241.703034 362.268268 560.596621 937.553266 1711.687405 3455.373610 8681.386126
2025-05-11 229.634721 348.116510 546.220909 930.826517 1744.007846 3652.192986 9757.425396
2025-05-18 223.555942 343.477059 547.899113 954.975329 1846.589301 4047.279589 11698.853457
2025-05-25 218.958441 340.970240 553.047988 986.442393 1970.989570 4534.237228 14294.948529
2025-06-01 212.419599 334.609129 550.575686 1001.928060 2060.684252 4952.176553 16933.577775
2025-06-08 204.166642 324.680449 540.664678 1000.620576 2109.307102 5264.804879 19363.464672
2025-06-15 198.887334 319.703221 539.671352 1018.305438 2208.948762 5766.836411 23194.088203
2025-06-22 188.122680 304.185474 517.339833 986.707422 2175.046786 5825.561066 24693.581137
2025-06-29 178.397891 290.077084 496.878949 957.473323 2143.532182 5886.316725 26292.466880
2025-07-06 168.820332 275.790513 475.247166 923.763985 2095.434533 5878.896132 27491.990148
2025-07-13 166.857895 275.514591 481.355454 954.594173 2232.943693 6591.987504 34501.158593